Restless, Distant and Tense

That's the summary of how I'll feel the next two days. I can check out the poll data or Nate Silver's latest on the unlikely McCain paths to victory. Neither of these things will settle me down though. I remember some anxiety on the eve of the 2006 mid terms, mostly about the chances of a having a Governor Blackwell. With so much more on the line and having spent a good deal of time volunteering for the Obama campaign this go around is much more intense. Can you tell I'm a Type A?

Just to add to the election noise take a look at the Pollster composite of Ohio.

Doesn't look to bad for Obama does it? Now look at the national composite.













A good lead but not as comforting. I added the long over due fivethirtyeight.com widget to the sidebar. Too bad it will only be handy for two more days. Anyway this is the last push. If you are still volunteering tomorrow or Tuesday, fight the good fight and as Kos said "leave everything on the road".

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Don't Trust the Polls

I am spending too much time obsessing over the polling data. As a self professed fivethirtyeight.com junky I enjoy soaking up Nate Silver's latest daily regression of the polls and the matching pretty graphics. Today's composite chart from Pollster.com is crack for the eyes. The familiar spread continues to widen with the last few says of the trend pointing in almost opposite directions. That's a damn work of art.

Sure things look good for Obama and bad for McCain right now. The polls have add for election observer's and make me feel all warm and fuzzy. Don't take solace in the polls though. There is still a lot of campaign left and I won't feel safe until this one is in the bag on November 5th. My worst nightmare is having one of those Bush 2004 hangovers the day after the election. Except this year it would be a head splitting Palin migraine from hell.

Staring at poll data doesn't do anything to get one additional vote. So close out of Firefox or IE7 (dummy) and get off your collective butts. Walk away from the Internets and go early vote (only once) or knock on some doors for the Obama campaign. The stupid little pie charts on fivethirteight aren't going anywhere trust me, I keep checking.

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